January 2012

January 31, 2012
Nassau, Bahamas

Wegelin & Co used to be Switzerland’s oldest private bank. Founded in 1741, they managed to survive every threat across three centuries: revolution, financial disaster, and war… from being invaded by Napoleon to the Sonderbundskrieg civil war to Adolf Hitler.

Every threat except for one, that is: the United States Government.

I say that Wegelin “used to be” Switzerland’s oldest private bank because they’re now finished, courtesy of Uncle Sam. They had no office in the United States, no employees in the United States. They were 100% Swiss, and violated no Swiss law whatsoever.

Yet US authorities believed that a handful of Wegelin’s US clients were hiding assets and not paying taxes. The fact that the bank wasn’t subject to US law was irrelevant. The fact that the bank has zero legal responsibility in ensuring their customers filed tax forms was irrelevant.

The government crushed Wegelin regardless.

By threatening them with lawsuits, investigations, IRS penalties, and criminal charges (levied personally against the bank directors), the US government succeeded in its mission. The scare tactics were enough to chase away the bank’s customers, and Wegelin is now selling what little of its business remains.

It’s another despicable example of the US government doing whatever it wants, wherever it wants without any legal basis of any kind. It gets worse.

On top of this, there’s the new FATCA legislation– Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act. The law effectively requires every bank in the world to make a choice:

1) Accept Americans as customers, but agree to share information with the US government;

2) Close the door to all US citizens and residents forever; or

3) Thumb your nose at the law, but risk becoming the next Wegelin & Co.

Needless to say, most banks are opting for #1 in order to avoid unnecessary scrutiny and disclosures.

This is why it’s getting harder and harder for Americans to do business overseas. Many foreign companies now don’t even want US citizens (or residents) as shareholders, officers, or directors. It’s just too much hassle, too much risk.

As FATCA is rolled out, it will be commonplace for foreign banks to give the ole’ heave-ho to their US customers. And as we have discussed so many times before, having a foreign bank account is one of the most important steps in declaring your financial independence. Briefly,

1) a foreign account takes your hard-earned savings out of the direct control and supervision of your home government’s kleptocrats.

2) A foreign account allows much easier diversification outside of your home currency.

3) And perhaps most importantly, a foreign bank is likely to be safer and better capitalized, devoid of the toxic assets that plague US and European banks.

But are there any options left? You bet. As the saying goes, whenever one door closes, another one opens. OK not exactly. But for every few dozen banks that are closing their doors to US customers, one or two are happy to welcome Americans with open arms.

The US market is huge. And a few banks out there are willing to do the extra work and crawl in bed with Uncle Sam in order to get a slice of that pie. Some of them are right here in the Bahamas, or in nearby Turks & Caicos.

While I’m not at liberty to mention any bank names in this public forum (they really freak out about this), suffice it to say that you won’t have too many problems opening an account with the major international banks in either location.

Just make sure you have your passport, driver’s license, utility bill (or other proof of address) and two bank reference letters (or one letter plus a professional reference from a lawyer or accountant).

It’s a short flight that’s well worth the time and effort.

As a reminder, US taxpayers with foreign accounts are required to file form TDF 90-22.1 to the Treasury Department (not the IRS) each year by June 30th, as well as Schedule B (1040) with their usual return by April 15th. Starting this year, some filers may have to submit form 8938 as well… I’ll write more on that soon.

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2012-01-31

January 30, 2012
Nassau, Bahamas

Here’s something unexpected. According to IMF data, the central bank of Kazakhstan recently purchased 3.1 metric tons of gold, increasing its reserves by 4.2%. In an even more stunning development, Mongolia’s central bank purchased 1.2 metric tons, increasing its reserves by a whopping 52%.

 Kazakhstan adds to its gold reserves. Very nice!

To be fair, 4.3 metric tons of gold is not much. At current market value, it’s around a quarter of a billion dollars, just a small fraction of last year’s worldwide gold production. It is an interesting, trend, though.

Years ago, most radidly developing countries enjoying their first taste of wealth would have been more than happy holding dollars. Today, it’s becoming obvious to everyone that sitting on a bunch of worthless fiat paper does not make a sound balance sheet.

Over the years, central banks have managed to accumulate trillions of dollars worth of foreign reserves, the vast majority of which is in dollars, euros, and yen.  This is a big problem. Asset managers (including central banks) need a reasonable store of value to hold their cash and reserve funds, and none of those three is a good option.

What’s more, as the euro drama continues to unfold, central bankers will be increasingly forced to choose between the fundamentally flawed US dollar, and the fundamentally flawed yen. No other currency can absorb hundreds of billions of dollars worth of capital flows.

One suggestion being discussed openly by many central bankers is to hold foreign reserves in a new, specially created reserve currency similar to the IMF’s SDR– essentially a global currency that’s only accessible as a medium of exchange for central banks.

Now, this may be the dumbest idea in the history of modern finance– solving the problem of too much structurally unsound fiat currency by creating a new fiat currency backed by other fiat currencies? It’s unimaginably stupid.

For now, though, there is no solution… which means that big economies weilding hundreds of billions, even trillions of dollars, have very few options. And it’s a tough problem to manage.

For example, a friend of mine who works at one of China’s sovereign wealth funds once told me that they don’t look at any deal where they can’t deploy at least one billion dollars.

As any successful investor knows, finding a great deal is not easy. Finding one that’s worth at least a billion dollars is seriously difficult. Finding thousands of them across which you can invest trillions of dollars is an impossibility.

This is why sovereign fund managers, just like pension funds and bank asset managers, keep falling back on the same old, tired investments that don’t make any sense– US Treasuries, Japanese government bonds, etc. It’s the only asset class on the planet where you can park a billion dollars with relative ease.

Little guys like Kazakhstan and Mongolia don’t have that problem; they can fly under the radar, build reserves, and continue accumulating precious metals in meaningful quantities (as a proportion of their holdings) without moving the needle too much. China and Saudi Arabia can’t.

It’s a good model for the rest of us to follow– stay liquid, steadily acquire precious metals, and fly under the radar.

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2012-01-30