Black Paper Launch— Plus, Answering your Questions..

by Simon Black · View Comments

I received quite a few interesting comments this week (many of which I kept private at the request of the sender).  Remember, posting a comment to the site is the best way to reach me: I read all of them personally. Email goes to support staff.

- SOLDIERS IN THE STREETS-

Kelly asked a great question on Tuesday– is there any country in the world that has the total package?

Naturally, this depends entirely on what you are looking for, and I think I will do a piece on this next week.  Some people are looking for pristine environment and low population density, others are looking to be in a megalopolis on the cheap.

For my own personal taste I have a long list of countries that rank as tier 1 locations for me, and I will be discussing these next week.  Meanwhile, Kelly specifically asked if there were any places reminiscent of what the United States used to look like in the 1950s.

Definitely. In fact, several places come to mind… first and probably foremost– Uruguay. The entire country seems like it’s stuck in a time warp, from the second you land at Carrasco International Airport in Montevideo.  One city in particular that I like in Uruguay is Piriapolis, a little more than halfway between Montevideo and Punta del Este.

I’ll be discussing Uruguay more in future issues; in the meantime, if you’re interested I would suggest checking out the blog of one of our subscribers who lives in Uruguay– http://newsfromlatinamerica.blogspot.com.

Another place that is quite idyllic is Panama’s northwestern mountain province of Chiriqui. I was just trading emails with a subscriber about this today– one of the province’s key expat centers is the highland town of Boquete (pronounced Bo-ket-ay), which he compared to Palm Springs in the 1950s.

The climate in Boquete is absolutely perfect, and I expect the town to grow substantially over the next several years from an influx of expats and retirees. As always, more on Boquete in future letters.

One important thing to note about Panama in particular is that the country is much, much more than Panama City. Some people fly to the city, tour around the main gringo parts of town for a few days, and fly away thinking that the entire country is exactly the same.

It’s not.

Panama City is growing quickly, trying to achieve modern, first-world status.  As such, it has the same growing pains as any other rapidly developing locale.  But the country is incredibly diverse– white sandy beaches on the Caribbean, soaring waves on the Pacific, and mountain villages in Chiriqui all have a unique and distinct flavor.

Consequently, I think Panama is definitely worthy of anyone’s consideration.

–Panama Black Paper Update:  If you’re serious about Panama, pay attention–

I’m putting the finishing touches on The Panama Black Paper this week and it is scheduled to be released to the public on September 1, 2009.   But, there is a catch which I’ll get to in a minute.

First, let me recap for those of you who are new here…    Every single day subscribers, friends and people I don’t even know ask me for my personal contacts.  I love to help point people in the right direction, but I rarely give out my trusted contacts.

Can you blame me?   I’ve spent years building my Rolodex.  I’ve paid the price of working with scammers and know-nothings all over the world.   My Rolodex was forged in the fires of trial and costly error.   Just handing them over to people I don’t know VERY well… especially making them freely available online isn’t just stupid, it’s dangerous.

However, if nothing else, I am a problem solver.   So, what I decided to do was put together a bit of a test, which, to be perfectly frank, I may not repeat again.   I decided to take one of the countries I know best, Panama, and create a “who’s who” white paper of sorts.

Naturally, I can’t call it a white paper…. The Panama Black Paper is a list of the people I know and trust in Panama.  It’s my personal Rolodex of the people I turn to and the people to whom I’ve previously referred only my most trusted friends.   I’m making this information available to subscribers of this letter on a very limited basis.

On September 1, 2009 I’m going to release only 25 copies of The Panama Black Paper.    The cost of the Black Paper will be $197.

I’m confident all 25 copies will sell out on day one.   You might be wondering why am I limiting it to 25?   Simple, I don’t want to overwhelm my contacts.   It’s the same reason why I’m charging hundreds of dollars.   If I didn’t charge enough and/or sold too many of these, I could burn the very important bridges I’ve built over many years.

That’s a risk I’m not willing to take.  Again, can you blame me?

You might be thinking that  The Panama Black Paper at less than 10 pages is nothing more than a contact list and you’d be right.   But, if you’re serious about doing anything in Panama the Black Paper will save you a lot of time and trouble.  Plus, it could very likely keep you from making a catastrophic mistake because, in addition to listing the people I know and trust, I’ll share a list of shady characters who you’ll likely encounter if you’re doing anything in Panama.

The fact is, some Panamanians have made a science out of taking advantage of gringos coming down to Panama.   These guys look good, sound good, but absolutely cannot be trusted.   In the Black Paper, I’ll name names.

So, if you’re serious about doing anything in Panama, you really should try to get your hands on The Panama Black Paper.

“Cut in Line” Notification List:

The Panama Black Paper will go on sale to the general public at noon EST September 1, 2009.   Only 25 will be sold, once they’re gone, that’s it.   To make sure you have the best chance of snapping up a copy, I strongly encourage you to register for the pre-public release.    By signing up for the early notification, I’ll email you a special order link at least two hours before The Panama Black Paper officially launches.

A word of warning… based upon the feedback we’ve gotten so far, I wouldn’t be surprised if all 25 are gone before we even open the doors to the public.

Sign up to “cut in line” here:

–PROFITING IN MONGOLIA–

I am quickly getting the impression that actionable investment insight specific to Asia would be very beneficial to this group.  Christine appreciates all the positive feedback (and even the few negative comments from folks who thought she was off-base).

I am likely heading to Asia myself next week for a secret mission of sorts… I may have to go dark for a few days. But one of my tasks once I’m on the ground will be to link up with Christine Verone among my many other contacts in-country and see if she would be willing to edit a Pan-Asia subscription newsletter.

I’m thinking that the letter would cover macroeconomic analysis, actionable investment insight, residency and retirement information, medical care, etc. from the entire region– Mongolia to Indonesia.

Obviously, launching a Pan-Asia subscription newsletter would be quite an investment of resources for us.   So, as part of our due diligence, I’d like to get some feedback from you, the potential customers of this newsletter.    Do you want it?   What type of information would you want included in each issue?     Similar newsletters (although there are not any that cover this area in the way we intend to) are priced at $1,200 or more for an annual subscription.   How much would you be willing to pay for the “on the ground” intelligence this letter would provide?    Your feedback is critical to my decision to move forward so your thoughts are appreciated.

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  • Bob Hays
    Trip report, Panama, 4th visit.

    My wife and I just returned, and I think a few impressions might be welcome by those on this site.

    This was my forth annual trip to Panama. Each has been a bit over a week, and all focused on working toward another home there. This year, we wanted to get the pensionado visas under way, before the rules change (as I expect they will if the world economic situation continues to deteriorate in Europe and Anglo America). I used the same lawyer from David I'd used for a real estate deal that fell through. Although I think the application was made successfully, I have reason to belive that he is not the best one to use for this, at least in Panama City. Just filing the application and getting multiple entry visas took a full 2 plus about another 1/2 day sitting (or standing) in the overcrowded offices of the Migration Office. I think with other help you could get it done more quickly. FWIW, I understand that now that the HIV scare is past, the medical check is pretty cursory.

    The second reason we went was to meet Bob O'Neil to talk about our situation and how to get set up with such services as a brokerage account. I also wanted to check out elevated locations closer to Panama City. Heretofor, I've focused on Chiqui, and we do find Boquete appealing. But it's certainly expensive and too far from Panama City (which the locals call "Panama") to go for anything routine. Driving it is said to take about 6 hours. This trip, we visited Cerro Azul, El Valle, and drove down to Lago Bayano, well to the east of Tocumen Airport. In a nutshell, we thought that Cerro Azul and other points east of Panama City are ripe for development, but it may be awhile before that reaches Lago Bayano. There is Pan American Highway standard road development from Tocumen all the way to Chepo. This is about 11" concrete slab paving in a 4 lane road, with somewhat limited access, much like the road we saw in David and from Panama City west to El Valle. But Cerro Azul is early stage, with few expats living there, and no real centre of local community life. I'm concerned that much of Cerro Azul is convex, and forms clouds readily. Unless you can find a local valley (as the one hosting the one local restaurant), it will be foggy and wet much of the time. Mildew City, we expect. But cheap and really close to Panama. The road up is in excellent shape.

    El Valle de Anton is an old vocanic caldera, the floor of which is flat, at about 2000ft elevation, and a resident population of about 6000. There is a "community of weekenders"--people from amongst the wealthist old families of Panama who drive the 2 hours up from the city to weekend in El Valle. They are said to have little to do with the residents, and are conspicuous in their oversized SUVs and petrol golf carts. Yet I was told they have made a huge impact on the community. Not only do they occupy much of the land, they're power has impacted local government, restricting lot sizes to 1 ha (2.2 acres), and no more than 2 stories to preclude condos and apartments. Perhaps so, but I saw lots smaller. Perhaps they were grandfathered in. But it is fairly clear that growth is limited by such rules, and there are quite a few big houses on large estates. There's also a resident expat community, but not a large one. One couple runs a local zoo-endangered species breeding facility that would make a much bigger town proud. Others run local businesses, such as the B&B we stayed at (Anton Valle Hotel). This is a very nice place, and we recommend it, the owner/operators, and even their dog and cockatoo. Note however, that the two gay guys running it have it up for sale. (FWIW, this is the second time I've stayed at a B&B run by a couple of gay guys, and so far I've been extraordinarily impressed. Suppose there's a directory to such places?). We have no real take on the real estate situation there, but heard that there are places available if you look. No multiple listing service, which seems an idea foreign to Panama. Two final notes about El Valle: There is a really good bakery, a good pizza and pasta place open only a few days a week, and a really good community market open on Sunday mornings.

    Since I've not commented here on Boquete, I'll add these notes from prior years. This is a high elevation town of about 16k, with something like 3k expats. The village sits on a river in a valley, at about an elevation of 5k ft. Property prices are high, although I understand deals can now be had from folks who've given up flipping for big profits or who have given up on the idea of a second home in Panana. There's now an active list serve for the expats, and I get about 3 messages a day. Lots of activities are being organised now, and there are several good to very good restaurants, and other amenities now.

    Much is out there about Panama City itself. But this is the first time I've driven in town, and I've not seen much about that. FWIW....
    Car travel in Panama City is really tough for the newcomer. I'm not shy on the road, so it's not being intimidated or unsure where the edges of the car are. Rather it's maps that don't show the one-ways, a near absence of street signs you can read, and warning direction signs that are unclear. Is this sign saying that we're coming to, say, Simon Boliver street at the next intersection, or that if you want to get there, hang a right at the light and head off that way? Using full names, especially 4-name style, means they're not only hard to read, but even harder to remember. And then there are the synonyms, I think, where a street has a person's name or a number, and a map may show one and the signs another. This is an old city on hilly country, so many roads do not follow a grid. In China I had great luck with maps (all in Chinese), but which showed bus routes. I could eventually figure out what bus to take to get somewhere, and where to pick it up. To get home could pull out my Chinese language packet of business cards and show a cab driver the one for a destination I wanted next. I've not yet found anything about the Panama City bus system. Busses are typically old US school buses decorated outrageously. They no longer play music at ear-splitting levels, or allow smoking. You identify a bus by reading the terminous destinations painted on the windscreen (no, I don't know how they see enough to drive). During the rather extended rush hours they are really full of students, and the poorer folk in town. At a stop a barker jumps off the stairs and screams out destinations. (I take it they are private companies and get paid by the passenger). Fares are cheap, I I've never felt in any danger.
    One final note for recipients of "Simon Black's" list of Panamanian contacts. I can concur that the person he said to get in touch with first is a really great contact. He was available, helpful, and someone I'd love to spend a couple of hours with sipping an adult beverage on a veranda. Something I heartily indend to address next time I'm in country. But of course he's a busy lad. Don't bother asking about my lawyer for immigration issues. Just call him. I might add that my impression just adds credibility to what "Simon" says about his contacts. Thanks, "Simon".
    I picked up a SIM mobile cell phone without trouble. The clerk asked for ID, but didn't insist on it. I could also buy prepay cards to top up the account. I got this at a shop run by Chinese immigrants in El Dorado. My sales rep was a young Chinese with very good English. He set the phone up for me, and it was only $20. Note that the Movil service is in Spanish, so although the phone menus were set by my sales guy to English, the messages from the company and the instructions on the top up cards are in Spanish. When I tried to use it in New Mexico, I couldn't connect. So I'm not sure how broadly useful it will be for private conversations originating outside Panama. I'll give it a try in NZ and see what happens. They have SIM card prepays there, too, and I don't recall needing ID. I'll try to check that out when I return home mid-Nov.
    The law has changed on pensionado visas, it seems. They used to take a long time. They issued you a temporary visa/ID card, and you had to be present to pick up the permanent one when they were issued in 3 months or you had to pay a fine for not being around. I've been told they now have legislated a 3 month limit for the Office of Migration to process the application, and there now is no fine for pensionado applicants who are not around. We may return to Panama from New Zealand to pick up the permanent visas when issued and check out property some more. What we end up doing is unclear, and partly depends on whether we can sell the vacant sea-view lots we have in New Zealand, and whether we try to and succeed in selling our house and lot adjacent to those. I intend to put something up on the web about those if/when we put them on the market.
  • Erik
    Simon:
    On a slightly different note, I'd be interested in you separating out your Panama rolodex with a report on just the "shady characters" you have found. If you priced something like that in the $50 range. I think you could find a large market that would be interested in knowing "who not to know" lol.
    All the Best,
    Erik
  • Ramon Jun QUITALES
    Yes, I'm willing to pay for a newsletter at a price of USD-1,000.00 annually if it can provide me direct contacts to ligitimate and geuine leners and financiers that can provide a loan to the Solomon islands Government against it sovereign guarantee for USD-$250 Million for a term up to 25-years with annual repayments of principal and interests.
  • Phil Chang
    YES on the Pan-Asia newsletter, please. And if you will email readers about this, add me to the list. Thanks and keep up the great work!

    Phil
  • Jusina
    Don't even know if you will read this comment; it's so tardy. We had never heard of your Panama Black Paper until you sent out your Oct 2nd
    Notes from the Field. We really need it! PLEASE let us know if you are going to issue more copies.

    Thank you,
  • Daniel
    Hi Simon,
    I like your idea for the newsletter in Asia. Mainly because I am strongly looking into relocating to one of the countries there. I've been giving lots of thought to KL, Malaysia. If the newsletter is around the same size and frequency of WB then I believe the price is fair.

    On a different note, I'm heading into the jungle in Sumatra, Indonesia, and was wondering what you thought of the malaria medications. Every western doctor says I need them but a lot of the old hands I know wont take them cause they destroy your liver and they've been fine. So I'm wondering if you can provide any insight on that topic. Have any of your medical contacts have told you anything?
  • Starr
    Best help for malaria is Chlorine Dioxide. It selectively oxidizes only pathogens and does not destroy friendly bacteria. As far as I know it will not destroy your liver like toxic drugs do. Do an internet search. Believe u will find what you need. If not, ask Simon to contact me...
    Best of luck in your adventures...
    S.
  • Martin
    Hi Simon, I saw the following snippet on a law firm website:

    This Fall (2009) we will be offering official government published Citizenship programs never before offered from Central America Countries. The process will take 45-60 days for a citizenship to be granted. Then another two weeks to get the passport. The passport allows for visa free travel to the EU, Central and South America and much of Asia. It is rare to ever see a fast track citizenship program like this.

    --------------

    Have you heard anything along these lines? Sounds like a fast turnaround for a second passport. Thanks.
  • ron
    Hola Simon,
    The Black Paper would have been of great interest to me a little over a year ago when we moved to Boquete. Having lived in Costa Rica the last 16 years gave me a pretty good foundation on how to go about finding the connections. If you're interested on adding someone to Your list we found a great guy in David. School teacher at night expediter by day. He just took care of a title transfer in which the original was lost and the person we bought the ATV from moved out of the country. I'd be interested in your news investment letter to about $400.
    Like your stuff, thanks
    Ron
  • Katherine
    I was able to sign up on the website for your cut-in-line Panama Black paper release, but it says I should receive an email that I have to respond to in order to confirm. I've tried twice and so far no email. Please advise. Thanks
  • TEH
    $250 is I think a reasonable price for a new untested newsletter. Price it higher if it gets to be a hit.
  • Doug
    Hi Simon. Love your posts. I am very interested in Latin/South America right now--much more so than Asia, so I wouldn't be a client for an Asian newsletter. On the other hand, perhaps one focusing on Latin/South America......

    Thanks for the entertaining, interesting and informative notes!
    D
  • jim Blasdell
    1200 to 2000
  • Warren
    Asian newsletter sounds like a great idea. I'm an expat currently living in Indonesia who would welcome some reliable investment info on Asia in general. Thanks.
  • eliya
    I, too, have interest in a pan-Asia newsletter. Can you project now how "grassroots" the investment ideas might be? Would most ideas be stocks accessible on Asian stock exchanges, or real estate, or start-ups?
    I concur with the suggestion of a price in the $250-300 range for the first year with an understanding that the price may rise based on performance.
  • Gary
    My name Gary. I am an american libertarian expate, living in Bangkok, Indonesia, and the Philippines for the last ten years or more. I own a condo in BKK, and a house in Batam Indonesia, so can live almost free in these places, but great biz oportunities don't exist for me here.

    Yes, Mongolia sounds fancinating, and I want to know much more about it.

    Love the idea of letter on Mongolia to Indonesia, (I might have some contributions), But am hurting from the depression and could not afford a really high price. I am cancelling many newsletters now. Keeping Maybury and hopefully you.

    As to your price, could you keep it under U$200.00 per year? I will work also, if desired.

    By the way, what is the female situation in Mongolia :-?

    Thanks.................. Gary


    Gary
  • political atheist
    I have heard the micro loan situation in Mongolia and the global economic implosion has Mongolia on the fast track to hyper inflation. Anyone have any thoughts or insights? Besides Mark Mobius, that is?
  • Jatin
    Gone through many of the comments up above, i wonder all those who are interested in Asian newsletter - have they the capacity to invest directly into Asia or would do thru some ETF or sorts?

    well for you guys - the lastest from India is that the government has introduced a new tax code that lowers the peak tax rate for corporates and increases the exemptions for individuals - just what you want to incentivise for people to earn more.

    moreover - few of the important bills are pending in India as of today - education bill, insurance bill, decision to decided the price of crude oil and NG thru market rates rather than the subsidies. This is going to impact quite a few companies dramatically.

    and as you know India is suffering from a major drought conditions these days - few water treatment, irrigation and seeds companies are going to be the beneficiaries because of the same
  • Bob
    Simon--as I mentioned in an earlier post I took my family down to Boquete this summer for my teenage daughters to take some intensive Spanish. I will agree with you that the area is worth a serious look especially since it is going though its own real estate pull-back. Everywhere you look you saw "Se Vende" (For Sale) and even at the premiere resort Valle Escondido, prices are coming down. Safety--everyone knows everyone down there so there's nothing done in secrete which makes it hard to commit a serious crime if you had the inclination. Another thing that impressed me about Boquete is that people actually live together. Standing on the street corner at 7:00am I watched how the day unfolded with people stopping to chat, honking their horns, waving at each other. It was something I could never see in a suburb of Cincinnati where I live. And by the way, my daughters didn't want to come home they had such a great time even though they'd never been away from home for so long. So I'm looking at Boquete as a safe-haven from the storm and hoping a dollar crash in Panama will be more tolerable than a dollar crash in Cincinnati where many think they are owed something cause their "American."
  • lawrence scharf
    $100-$200, Thanks for everything!
  • Bruce
    I am very interested in the Asian newsletter you propose.Like you say it would include macroeconomic factors,stock investments,residecy etc.I would pay upto $1200,but think$3-400 like most comments is about right for new newsletter.
  • David Templeton
    Simon:

    I just tried to sign up for early notification of the Panama Black paper...I don't think the web form was working.

    Thanks
  • Billy Rice
    I would definitely be interested in a newsletter regarding the"hidden" Asia. I like La Grange's take of a tiered service so that us low cash flow people have some investment info and the high rollers can have exclusive high speed info. (You know high speed, low drag) Thanks
  • hh
    my interest in an asian newsletter would primarily focus on actionable intelligence (lucrative equity investments on opportunities). As I dont know the focus my price range would be around 200 USD. depending a little bit on the content (if it is a little bit like WoB - much talk about travelling and other things (partly too comon for people who have travelled and know a lot already) - not much actionable but much paper!).
  • Jimbo
    In an earlier article you mentioned Uruguay as being an OK place to park some assets outside of the US. I am going to be in Montevideo next month and would like any suggestions you may have on which bank to do business with to open up an account, transfer some cash, and put some gold in a safety deposit box.

    Love reading your posts, by the way!
  • Peter
    I am interested in your potential Asia newsletter. $1200 is certainly reasonable. I am already very diversified internationally, but I found your comments about Mongolia very interesting. Also, could be interesting in just buying information on specific long term opportunities.
  • Malcolm Miller
    I am very interested in a Pan-Asia newsletter. I live in the Asia-Pacific area but still find it difficult to access information as vital as your person in China can.
    Some thoughts:
    The area is so vast and fast moving. A lot of information has to be interpreted. See what people do, not what they say.
    If as I presume you are considering a monthly newsletter, I consider that the newsletter should cover the macro economic picture, any significant changes,developments or anticipated, with a focus on either an investment or investment area. people should be able to do further due dilligence themselves. This would keep the cost reasonable.
    Consideration could be given to creating white/black papers similar to your Panama report. These would be charged separately and only sold in a limited number to those genuinely interested.
    The problem I find with many newsletters is that they are to US focused(not a criticism) and try to cover to much broadly.
    A reasonable cost. I honestly do not know.
    Malcolm Miller
  • Jatin bhardwaj
    A lot of you who have never travelled to northern part of India, may not know of a planned city called Chandigarh.

    I think it is the only planned city in the world (correct me if I am wrong). Constructed and planned as a poster child for all the future developments of urban areas in India the city boasts of world class living quality. Also it is a 45min drive from the beautiful himalayas.

    Just to give you an idea about the property rates - in todays newspaper on of the biggest realtors here was selling a 251 sq mtr villa for Rs 66 lakh or 132k USD @50 INR conversion rate....

    having lived in various cities in India - if you want a city life of quality with a little downside to career opportunities - nothing like it.
  • La Grange
    I am hugely interested in the newsletter that you propose. Topics of interest being macro insights into economic / social / political things (rule of law, property rights, transparency (there will always be opacity, the thing is: do you get what you pay for), red tape, in a nutshel, do they want real expats in their country). USD1,200 would be too steep for me. A tier of offerings with a lesser offering at 3 - 400USD would work for me.
  • Bob Hays
    I'm interested, but am focused more on Panama and South America now. So I'm more at the $100 price point for Asia. Mind you, I also live in New Zealand, and am interested if you put together anything on Oceania.
  • Lucas Kang
    great idea- if the ideas were actionable and timely, i think aa $1200 price point would be reasonable; for that much money though i would also like to get some specific contact recommendations-- lawyers, etc. in Singapore.
  • cheef
    I have hunch that you are in panama at the moment. I am here in PC until weds, and if you are interested in meeting up for a coffee or beer, I have just left argentina after 4 years there.
  • Tom
    I'd be interested if the price point is around $200
  • John Conley
    Hi Simon et al...
    Yes definitely would be of interest. Also, I may be available for additional intel to contribute. I was based in Singapore from '94 to '97, and while thats a way back, I'm planning a return, perhaps permanently and very soon, and will quickly reacquaint with the area. My specific area of interest is marine related and I am most familiar with Singapore, Penang, (Malaysia), Phuket, (Thailand), and the water one traverses between them. Anyone considering sailing in the area or needing marine related support would like what I know.
    Thanks for your reporting and please keep it up.
    Cheers
    John
  • Sarah
    I was born in China and raised in US. I would be very interested in the Pan-Asian newsletter. I have been focusing on and investing in Latin America (Mexico, Brazil, Ecuador, etc.) in the past 10 years and am more than ready to turn my attention to South Asia, especially China.

    Actually I would like to be part of this newsletter if you move forward with this project. Are there any near-term opportunities in the year 2010 to work on the ground for this newsletter? I am fluent in Chinese (speak Cantanese and some Mandarin) and English, well-traveled and computer-literate, with excellent business, management and people skills. My formal profession is in project management (was in corporate IT and now in Real Estate.) and I hold a PMP designation (recognized world-wide as a Project Management Professional).

    Oh yes, I think it would be great if you can keep the cost under $300 for the first year as most people would be willing to pay this price to try out a new newsletter.
  • Mark
    I think $1200 is entirely reasonable, but I think going over that too much wouldn't be such a good idea as she is a relative unknown....but that is sure to change from what I've read so far about her however

    Keep it up

    Mark
  • Kyle
    I would definitely find an Asian on the ground newsletter of interest. How much? Depends on the thoroughness...maybe $200-300 per year. Like your work. How about writing something on the how and the why of the travel and lifestyle you adhere to...Philosophy + How To for those dreaming of following in your footsteps.
  • I enjoy your perspectives, but feel you fail to add a caveat about
    earthquake and volcano zones.
    Earth changes (www.iceagenow.com) must factor into any decision making process, especially long term.
    See Pacific Ring of Fire earthquake zones also.
    Thank you,
    Martin
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