Crime and Safety around the world

by Simon Black · 21 comments

June 1, 2010
Undisclosed Location

I had a really great long weekend in Chicago (hence the day off yesterday) and was fortunate enough to meet up with a couple of very interesting subscribers. President Obama was even in town, and the entire city was in a heightened state of security.

Regardless of the President’s presence, though, there were 30 shootings in the city over the weekend… which is enough to make anyone scratch his head and wonder about safety.

You hear about similar crime statistics from time to time, whether in places like Chicago, Mexico, Africa, etc. People automatically assume that those places are inherently dangerous. Sometimes that’s true… but usually not.

The reality is that most crime around the world, in North America, Asia, or Latin America, generally takes place in localized areas. Even in your own home town, chances are that you know the places to avoid.

In Chicago, for instance, I was been running all over town having a great time, completely unaffected by the criminal shootings going on in other parts of the city… simply because I have situational awareness and didn’t bother venturing to the areas that I know to avoid.

It’s rarely different anywhere else. In Medellin, Colombia for example, the sprawling and wealthy el Poblado district is a beautiful, safe area that I would feel comfortable recommending to my own mother. The shanty neighborhoods built into the hillside, though, are where you want to avoid.

These are common-sense choices that any individual should make, expat or not, traveler or not. Safety, fundamentally, is an individual responsibility… too many people place their livelihood into the hands of the government, expecting safety and protection in return for their tax dollars.

Unfortunately, this simply isn’t the case.

In 1981, after a series of events which led to the brutal abuse and robbery of two Washington DC women, the US Court of Appeals ruled that “a government and its agents are under no general duty to provide public services, such as police protection, to any individual citizen.”

This sort of puts “to serve and protect” in a new light… so much for your tax dollars at work. This is why, fundamentally, we are all on our own in this world, whether we realize it or not. The government is not there to save us.

People always ask me about safe places vs. unsafe places, and I have a pretty good sense of the issue from having traveled so much. I don’t recommend countries that I find to be unsafe, and to be clear, I define this as having an elevated chance of criminal encounters outside of the ‘unsafe’ parts of town.

Buenos Aires is an excellent example. It’s a beautiful city, sort of, but the crime situation has really deteriorated to the point that you can easily be robbed and/or assaulted in broad daylight on the most popular tourist streets in town.

It happens every single day, and I know numerous people who have fallen victim.

I wouldn’t rule it out as a place to live, but people should have much more situational awareness in that city than in, say, Medellin.

In an upcoming report about expatriation that I have co-written with the folks at Casey Research, I provide crime and safety details on dozens of cities around the world where people might want to plant an overseas flag.

Below I list a few that are covered in much more detail in the upcoming report:

Tier 1 (incredibly safe): Singapore, Dubai, Havana, Beijing
Tier 2 (“normal”, reasonable crime levels): Panama, Budapest, Kuala Lumpur
Tier 3 (requires elevated awareness): Buenos Aires, Cape Town, Tangiers

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  • J J Luna

    When we moved to the Canary Islands in 1959, all the islands were 100 percent safe. Times have changed. Petty theft is everywhere now. You dare not leave a car with anything in it because even if locked, the windows will be broken.

    • T S

      JJ! It's a shock to see you commenting here but I saw your recent plug so simon on your blog, which btw is very informative. I'm a young guy in college and your books were very eye opening. Unfortunately I'm getting the sort of “crazy treatment” from close family when they ask about what I do. I'm glad you mentioned Singapore in this, I have heard/read it is basically the safest city on planet earth. I am thinking seriously about transferring schools to the National University of Singapore to finish out my finance degree and establish permanent residency and eventually get citizenship.

      • http://www.vanishnow.com M Spaulding

        Just remember one key thing about Singapore; Keep your nose clean! It says on the jet way walk off of the plane into the airport that if you are carrying drugs, you will be put to death. I personally had no issues with this, but remember, that little pity is given to uneducated foreigners!

  • Miguel

    Simon – I just returned from several weeks in Argentina (primarily Bs. As. but Mendoza as well) and I think (and was confirmed by numerous locals, both Portenos and expats) that the “threat” of robberies, etc in Bs. As. is overblown so long as one is vigilant, doesn't go where one shouldn't go after dark and ideally, doesn't travel alone in the tougher areas or at night which is really no different than most major cities around the world, no? I'm well traveled and felt much safer (as did my girlfriend) in Bs. As. than in other large Latin American cities i.e. Mexico City, Guatemala City, Rio, etc.

    Sure, tourists are targeted for petty theft on Florida Street, etc. but it's well known and if the proper precautions are taken there isn't much to worry about. In fact, our experience was so good in Bs. As. (and confirmed by many expats) that we are planning to go back later this year for a 2-3 stay.

    As far as the rest of your article, I couldn't agree more…

    • Rad

      I agree, I have never had any problems in Buenos Aires, except in La Boca, but that is one of the worst areas.

  • http://austinyoder.com/blog Austin

    This is exactly what I needed to hear. I'll be heading into Kashmir tomorrow – Srinagar via Jammu, and possibly on to Leh. I've traveled places before that are supposedly unsafe, even when the state dept. has its travel advisories against American citizens venturing into whatever the region happens to be. As long as you are self aware and don't do stupid things, like agree to go with strangers to their favorite restaurant or scenic spot in their personal jeep, there isn't necessarily any danger.

    I was a little bit worried about going into Kashmir, but all the people in Manali India (current location) tell me that as long as you're careful you should be fine.

    Refreshing perspective on travel, per usual. Thanks for the post and keep up the awesome work.

  • Guille

    Hi Simon. I think there is a mistake by classifying Buenos Aires as a dangerous city. I also believe you could be influenced by the local media (or the feelings of your local host) when you visited Buenos Aires.
    B.A. is not an excellent city but is safe enough for most tourist and locals. I've lived here for years and never suffered a problem related with crime, except for one occasion 5 years ago when somebody opened my car and stole the spare tire, while my car was parked in a dangerous part of the city. I had to go there and I took the risk. My fault.
    Thousands of tourist visit B.A. every month and only very few of them suffer a “light” robbery.
    It's important to comment a special situation in B.A. and Argentina in general: There is a big conflict between National Government and the most important media group controlling the most sold newspaper, TV channel and 24 hs News channel. This situation leads to a false crime feeling among population since the news about a single homicide in a 10 million people city like B.A. is repeated several times for a few days on TV and placed in the newspaper cover.
    For your reference, last week there was a big festival in B.A. celebrating 200 years from the Revolution that led to independence. In total, 6 million people assisted to the celebrations in downtown. 2 to 3 millions per day.
    Not a single violent episode was reported.
    Some pictures:
    http://actualidad.rt.com/images/publications/86…
    http://actualidad.orange.es/actualidad04/img/ef…
    Seven presidents from Southamerican countries walked 6 blocks during the celebrations, using a narrow passage through the mass. I think you can not expect to see that in a dangerous city…

  • MadRussian

    Simon- You're right about Buenos Aires, its gone from being the safest major capital in South America to one of the unsafest. What your describing— robbery in broad daylight, it happened to me. it happens all the time. the locals just shake their heads and accept it. I would still mov ethere, but you have to be careful… not like Ecuador, Uruguay, and Colombia which feel much safer. thanks for your column.

  • silverinvestor

    One of the reasons my wife and I like living in Cuenca is the feeling of safety. We aren't stupid about things, like being anywhere in the middle of the night.

    But downtown any evening, we feel safe. Taking my dog for a walk at 7 a.m. or 9 p.m., I feel safe.

    I don't like advertising that fact, because I don't want to see a whole lot more expats here!

    • Latindog

      Cuenca is safe and down right boring.

      Just got back. Will never return.

      It's definetly a place to get old and retire to.

      • http://www.silver-investor-gold-investor.com SilverInvestor

        Don't go to Cotacachi then. Cuenca is like NYC compared to Cotacachi.

  • Curt

    Funny that your post starts with the idea that government cannot create public safety, but ends with a list of safest and least safe cities – the safest all have large governments while the unsafe ones have limited government.

  • Pierre

    Hey Simon
    I've always wanted to know how u felt about my home, Cape Town. As a South African I'm used to the affect of crime and it's so whooshy to read some comments about how crime can affect others around the world. I promise everybody who think crime can affect them, you have NO IDEA!!! SA has a crime rate of 20,000 murders per year. No, not deaths or rugby tackles gone bad. Murders. Out of 45 million, thats one of 2000 South Africans will be murdered every year. That may freak you out, but it can surely teach you a heightened sense of awareness. To ensure the population keeps rising we have substandard condoms, extreme levels of homophobia and really superhot babes of all shades.
    I'm a subscriber to a few Casey stuff, so let me know when its out.

    • Happy Gulliver

      “To ensure the population keeps rising we have substandard condoms, … and really superhot babes of all shades.”

      Hey Simon, there isn't a female hotness factor coinciding with crime is there?

  • Jai

    I would add Tier 4: No-Go, and define it pretty much as anywhere they're shooting (Afghanistan), anyplace expats/tourists/foreigners are an immediate target for crime or violence, and anyplace with crime widespread and personal welfare (not just property) in frequent jeopardy (apparently Buenos Aires).

    When I traveled around Malaysia, including KL, Kuala Trengganu, Kota Kinabalu, Cameron Highlands, Penang & much more, I felt quite safe everywhere, and no expats I knew ever had a problem in M'sia. While I can't say it's as safe as Singapore, I'd put it up closer to S'pore than practically anywhere I can think of. Unless things have changed since I lived there…

  • Tranquil

    Top of the world city for financial affair is Genewa. And Dubai which you have been said about is not good area. Beacuse of South African people who are working for security of many places. Always they are awaited for great hunting. They can even high jack you in the streets when you have money.

  • European

    Hi Simon,

    I'd like to know more about safer places which are suitable for families with children. Could you elaborate little bit more on this in one of your following emails/posts?

  • Tranquil

    Top of the world city for finical affair is Genewa.

  • Bballjones

    I'm surprised you listed Cape Town, SA as a Tier 3 city. I spent a week there and always felt pretty safe. This makes me wonder what Tier you would place Johannesburg into. When we spent a night in Jo-burg I was told to never leave the hotel because it was like Detroit times 10.

  • Pipi23

    Buenos Aires is definitely a beautiful city, one of the most beautiful in the world…not “sort of”

  • Jim

    The question I have is not the saftey in the Cities, but saftey in the country side, since I am more interested in country living.

    Jim Dorchak

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