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Old Europe

March 10, 2010
Pattaya, Thailand

Yesterday I apparently declared a premature end to major combat operations against the virus that has invaded my body.  Maybe it was just the celebratory Mexican food I ate last night to commemorate the end of my 4-day sickness, but I now seem to be experiencing my own W-shaped recovery.

Always the optimist, though, I’m actually grateful for a few things; namely, I’ve been too consumed with the rugby match being played inside my cranium to pay much attention to the most recent socialist musings of European leaders– something that would ordinarily have me spitting fire at the magnitude of their arrogance.

Most glaringly, Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou has been on a bicontinental tour seeking political support to eliminate some forms of derivatives trading… all with the goal of preventing “unprincipled speculators” from making money by betting on a Greek default.

Rather than misdirecting his criticism at speculators, though, Papandreou should look no further than the nearest mirror to levy criticism.  As a legendary Greek political family, three different Papandreous have spent a combined 10-years as Prime Minister, so there has been ample opportunity to get spending under control.

To lay blame at “unprincipled speculators” as a chief cause of the Greek crisis is thus completely ignorant and hypocritical.  Not to mention, Papandreou should be courting speculators to buy his country’s debt, not vilifying them.
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Burgers make better economic indicators than official statistics ever could.

As I travel, I typically perform an informal price study of my own basket of consumer goods– a loaf of bread, a pack of cigarettes, a liter of petrol, and a handful of… non-family friendly wares.

This is the type of information that is most valuable for me because, everything else equal, goods of similar quality should cost the same around the world.

Unfortunately, Heisenberg was correct when he postulated that I am not capable of being in multiple places at exactly the same time… which is why I get excited whenever the Economist releases a new iteration of its Big Mac Index.

The Big Mac Index compares worldwide prices, converted into dollars, of the McDonald’s signature sandwich.  It is an excellent, though certainly not conclusive, indicator of whether a nation’s currency is undervalued or overvalued.

The most recent release from July 16th confirms absolutely what I am seeing on the ground here in Europe: the Eurozone is seriously overvalued…by roughly 30% according to the index.
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